Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

127.64 – 448.17

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

99 – 411

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 311.9 ±11.7

1757Wolverines

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 64.89Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 49.31Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 13.44Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 671.8 ±9.8

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 171.52Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 216.85Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4048Redshift

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 59.8Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1757, 348, 5494

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1757, 348, 5494

Auto

35.4 31%

Teleop

44.7 39%

Endgame

33.7 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1768, 190, 4048

/ 100 compat

Projected

448.2 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1768, 190, 4048

Auto

68.3 16%

Teleop

252.6 57%

Endgame

118.6 27%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score127.6pts

Blue projected score448.2pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -320.5
Score range: 89–487
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 510 vs event baseline 214.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

311.9Season APEX671.8

35.4Auto68.3

44.7Teleop252.6

33.7Endgame118.6

14Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	74
teleop	51	253
endgame	34	84
foul	0	0
total	99	411

Result

Final score

99 – 411

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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