Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.73 – 47.43

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

206 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 342.4 ±12.2

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 84.83Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3634Bridgeport Spark City

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 38.86Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 37.04Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.5 ±13.9

6762Oscats

Season APEX 29Event APEX 16.07Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 21.73Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1027Mechatronic Maniacs

Season APEX 89Event APEX 9.63Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1740, 3634, 8544

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1740, 3634, 8544

Auto

18.3 12%

Teleop

84.8 56%

Endgame

48.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6762, 1474, 1027

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6762, 1474, 1027

Auto

12.5 29%

Teleop

22.6 53%

Endgame

7.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.42 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.7pts

Blue projected score47.4pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 113.3
Score range: 8–200
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 256 vs event baseline 216.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

342.4Season APEX141.5

18.3Auto12.5

84.8Teleop22.6

48.3Endgame7.4

7Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	11
teleop	132	28
endgame	39	11
foul	20	0
total	206	50

Result

Final score

206 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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