Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

161 – 199.94

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 98 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 249.2 ±12.8

5491Hard Reset

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 22.91Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 105.2Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2168Aluminum Falcons

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 32.89Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 302.4 ±12.2

4628Sintian Robotics

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 52.42Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6333Scavenger Robotics

Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 93.04Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 54.48Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5491, 467, 2168

/ 100 compat

Projected

161 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5491, 467, 2168

Auto

38.7 25%

Teleop

87.0 57%

Endgame

27.3 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4628, 6333, 999

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4628, 6333, 999

Auto

33.3 18%

Teleop

95.6 52%

Endgame

56.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score161pts

Blue projected score199.9pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.9
Score range: 122–239
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 165 vs event baseline 218.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

249.2Season APEX302.4

38.7Auto33.3

87Teleop95.6

27.3Endgame56.2

72Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	14
teleop	33	35
endgame	23	39
foul	0	0
total	77	88

Result

Final score

77 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 98 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.