Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.93 – 146.14

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 254 ±13.3

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 10.99Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5347Gryphons

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 32.14Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10393Foxborough High School

Season APEX 66.6Event APEX 8.8Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 345 ±10.7

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 28.74Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 87.98Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 29.42Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5494, 5347, 10393

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5494, 5347, 10393

Auto

14.6 31%

Teleop

20.6 43%

Endgame

12.5 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1474, 9644, 348

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1474, 9644, 348

Auto

27.3 18%

Teleop

89.7 60%

Endgame

31.8 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score51.9pts

Blue projected score146.1pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -94.2
Score range: 9–189
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 159 vs event baseline 239.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

254Season APEX345

14.6Auto27.3

20.6Teleop89.7

12.5Endgame31.8

21Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	21
teleop	4	71
endgame	0	37
foul	0	0
total	30	129

Result

Final score

30 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.