Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

7.34 – 113.55

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 66.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.4 ±13.3

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX -20.11Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 14.26Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5491Hard Reset

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 13.19Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.8 ±11.7

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 2.87Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 10.35Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 100.33Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 157, 7760, 5491

/ 100 compat

Projected

7.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 157, 7760, 5491

Auto

-4.1 0%

Teleop

1.6 14%

Endgame

14.0 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8567, 5494, 467

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8567, 5494, 467

Auto

29.5 30%

Teleop

36.5 38%

Endgame

30.9 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score7.3pts

Blue projected score113.6pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -106.2
Score range: -31–152
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 254 vs event baseline 213.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.4Season APEX280.8

-4.1Auto29.5

1.6Teleop36.5

14Endgame30.9

53Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	48
teleop	45	97
endgame	25	0
foul	0	0
total	109	145

Result

Final score

109 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 66.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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