Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

472.13 – 75.69

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

345 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 670.8 ±9.9

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 95.44Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10254Regal Seagulls

Season APEX 269Event APEX 197.26Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 179.43Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.7 ±12.8

716Who'sCTEKS

Season APEX 72Event APEX 6.5Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2168Aluminum Falcons

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 34.09Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 35.1Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1740, 10254, 2370

/ 100 compat

Projected

472.1 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1740, 10254, 2370

Auto

90.7 19%

Teleop

265.4 57%

Endgame

111.3 24%

Strengths

· 10254 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 716, 2168, 8544

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 716, 2168, 8544

Auto

14.9 22%

Teleop

17.4 26%

Endgame

34.8 52%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.9 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score472.1pts

Blue projected score75.7pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 396.4
Score range: 38–510
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 443 vs event baseline 213.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

670.8Season APEX241.7

90.7Auto14.9

265.4Teleop17.4

111.3Endgame34.8

19Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	19
teleop	214	33
endgame	69	46
foul	0	0
total	345	98

Result

Final score

345 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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