Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

148.57 – 103.74

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

203 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 267.2 ±12.7

6333Scavenger Robotics

Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 95.97Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1757Wolverines

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 59.71Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1027Mechatronic Maniacs

Season APEX 89Event APEX -7.11Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.1 ±13.9

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 22.93Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 24.64Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4628Sintian Robotics

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 56.17Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6333, 1757, 1027

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6333, 1757, 1027

Auto

37.3 26%

Teleop

46.5 32%

Endgame

61.1 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1474, 2262, 4628

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1474, 2262, 4628

Auto

20.9 20%

Teleop

53.8 53%

Endgame

27.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score148.6pts

Blue projected score103.7pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 44.8
Score range: 65–188
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 215.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

267.2Season APEX207.1

37.3Auto20.9

46.5Teleop53.8

61.1Endgame27.6

11Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	8
teleop	108	37
endgame	23	14
foul	5	0
total	203	59

Result

Final score

203 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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