Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

315.42 – 150.71

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

407 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 53.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 499.3 ±10.8

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 209.09Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 13.77Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5112The Gongoliers

Season APEX 153Event APEX 92.56Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261.1 ±12.2

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 16.97Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 32.71Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6333Scavenger Robotics

Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 101.03Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 190, 2262, 5112

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 190, 2262, 5112

Auto

67.6 23%

Teleop

165.4 56%

Endgame

64.4 22%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7760, 8544, 6333

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7760, 8544, 6333

Auto

33.6 23%

Teleop

41.6 29%

Endgame

68.4 48%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score315.4pts

Blue projected score150.7pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 164.7
Score range: 113–353
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 542 vs event baseline 210.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

499.3Season APEX261.1

67.6Auto33.6

165.4Teleop41.6

64.4Endgame68.4

56Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	33
teleop	225	57
endgame	103	45
foul	0	0
total	407	135

Result

Final score

407 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 53.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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