Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

107.77 – 182.24

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 78 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 179 ±13.9

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 22.05Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

97Bionic Beef

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 29.02Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2168Aluminum Falcons

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 56.7Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.6 ±11.2

11483Red Line Robotics

Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 51.41Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 71.96Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3634Bridgeport Spark City

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 58.87Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7760, 97, 2168

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7760, 97, 2168

Auto

28.8 27%

Teleop

43.1 40%

Endgame

36.4 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11483, 9644, 3634

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11483, 9644, 3634

Auto

32.6 19%

Teleop

103.2 60%

Endgame

37.2 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score107.8pts

Blue projected score182.2pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.5
Score range: 69–221
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 216.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

179Season APEX379.6

28.8Auto32.6

43.1Teleop103.2

36.4Endgame37.2

36Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	37
teleop	28	18
endgame	3	22
foul	0	0
total	57	77

Result

Final score

57 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 78 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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