Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

116.58 – 435.08

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 548

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.6 ±11.7

716Who'sCTEKS

Season APEX 72Event APEX -19.78Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 74.21Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1757Wolverines

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 62.15Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 589.3 ±10

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 228.58Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 110.14Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6333Scavenger Robotics

Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 96.36Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 716, 8724, 1757

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 716, 8724, 1757

Auto

37.0 32%

Teleop

49.6 43%

Endgame

28.9 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3467, 5422, 6333

/ 100 compat

Projected

435.1 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3467, 5422, 6333

Auto

59.0 14%

Teleop

257.9 60%

Endgame

114.6 27%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score116.6pts

Blue projected score435.1pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -318.5
Score range: 78–474
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 661 vs event baseline 214.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

391.6Season APEX589.3

37Auto59

49.6Teleop257.9

28.9Endgame114.6

31Consistency100

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	110
teleop	26	319
endgame	39	119
foul	0	0
total	113	548

Result

Final score

113 – 548

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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