Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

411.06 – 150.87

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

433 – 210

Prediction correct · off by 40.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 571.1 ±10

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 226.97Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 71.59Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 112.5Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 386.2 ±11.2

716Who'sCTEKS

Season APEX 72Event APEX -27.67Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 122.45Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 56.09Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 190, 1740, 2079

/ 100 compat

Projected

411.1 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 190, 1740, 2079

Auto

47.0 12%

Teleop

245.5 61%

Endgame

112.5 28%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 716, 1100, 9644

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 716, 1100, 9644

Auto

20.7 14%

Teleop

88.9 58%

Endgame

42.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.87 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score411.1pts

Blue projected score150.9pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 260.2
Score range: 112–450
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 643 vs event baseline 215.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

571.1Season APEX386.2

47Auto20.7

245.5Teleop88.9

112.5Endgame42.4

144Consistency113

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	37
teleop	245	139
endgame	99	34
foul	0	0
total	433	210

Result

Final score

433 – 210

Prediction correct · off by 40.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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