Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

127.44 – 147.54

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 51.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.7 ±12.7

6333Scavenger Robotics

Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 109.93Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

97Bionic Beef

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 33.24Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX -15.73Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 345.2 ±11.2

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 74.33Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3205Patriots

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 56.07Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 17.14Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6333, 97, 157

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6333, 97, 157

Auto

16.9 13%

Teleop

64.2 50%

Endgame

46.1 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 348, 3205, 8567

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 348, 3205, 8567

Auto

16.6 10%

Teleop

107.5 66%

Endgame

39.4 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score127.4pts

Blue projected score147.5pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.1
Score range: 87–188
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 172 vs event baseline 220.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212.7Season APEX345.2

16.9Auto16.6

64.2Teleop107.5

46.1Endgame39.4

28Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	25
teleop	12	63
endgame	3	32
foul	0	0
total	52	120

Result

Final score

52 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 51.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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