Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

147.25 – 86.39

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

145 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 330.9 ±12.2

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 28.8Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 106.16Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 12.29Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.3 ±13.9

3634Bridgeport Spark City

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 39.52Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5491Hard Reset

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 23.81Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

97Bionic Beef

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 23.06Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2262, 1740, 8567

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2262, 1740, 8567

Auto

19.2 13%

Teleop

84.3 59%

Endgame

40.5 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3634, 5491, 97

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3634, 5491, 97

Auto

22.2 27%

Teleop

47.1 58%

Endgame

12.0 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score147.3pts

Blue projected score86.4pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 60.9
Score range: 43–190
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 212 vs event baseline 239.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

330.9Season APEX227.3

19.2Auto22.2

84.3Teleop47.1

40.5Endgame12

16Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	22
teleop	96	25
endgame	25	20
foul	0	0
total	145	67

Result

Final score

145 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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