Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

390.08 – 228.91

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

522 – 298

Prediction correct · off by 100.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 668.5 ±10.2

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 211.9Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10254Regal Seagulls

Season APEX 269Event APEX 172.92Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 5.26Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 494.2 ±12.4

10393Foxborough High School

Season APEX 66.6Event APEX 11.76Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 138.45Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4048Redshift

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 78.7Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3467, 10254, 7760

/ 100 compat

Projected

390.1 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3467, 10254, 7760

Auto

59.4 16%

Teleop

178.5 47%

Endgame

144.0 38%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10393, 5000, 4048

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10393, 5000, 4048

Auto

77.1 34%

Teleop

142.7 62%

Endgame

10.2 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.73 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score390.1pts

Blue projected score228.9pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 161.2
Score range: 189–430
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 820 vs event baseline 221.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

668.5Season APEX494.2

59.4Auto77.1

178.5Teleop142.7

144Endgame10.2

152Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	117	75
teleop	307	145
endgame	93	73
foul	5	5
total	522	298

Result

Final score

522 – 298

Prediction correct · off by 100.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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