Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

348.87 – 71.59

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

490 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 102.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 681.2 ±9.5

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 169.99Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 40.44Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 138.44Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 274.8 ±13.3

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 40.48Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 9.58Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

97Bionic Beef

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 21.53Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2370, 237, 1768

/ 100 compat

Projected

348.9 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2370, 237, 1768

Auto

62.7 18%

Teleop

186.9 54%

Endgame

98.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1740, 5494, 97

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1740, 5494, 97

Auto

17.5 23%

Teleop

51.9 70%

Endgame

5.1 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.88 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score348.9pts

Blue projected score71.6pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 277.3
Score range: 33–388
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 626 vs event baseline 217.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

681.2Season APEX274.8

62.7Auto17.5

186.9Teleop51.9

98.8Endgame5.1

95Consistency89

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	100	18
teleop	278	67
endgame	112	31
foul	0	20
total	490	136

Result

Final score

490 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 102.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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