Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

197.49 – 115.17

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

201 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 344.1 ±10.4

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 27.98Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 112.51Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11483Red Line Robotics

Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 57Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.4 ±13.3

6333Scavenger Robotics

Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 131.4Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

716Who'sCTEKS

Season APEX 72Event APEX -11.01Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX -5.22Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8567, 1100, 11483

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.5 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8567, 1100, 11483

Auto

33.3 17%

Teleop

109.0 56%

Endgame

53.9 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6333, 716, 1474

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6333, 716, 1474

Auto

44.3 38%

Teleop

46.6 40%

Endgame

25.1 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score197.5pts

Blue projected score115.2pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 82.3
Score range: 75–237
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 280 vs event baseline 221.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

344.1Season APEX188.4

33.3Auto44.3

109Teleop46.6

53.9Endgame25.1

103Consistency101

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	11
teleop	88	28
endgame	93	30
foul	0	10
total	201	79

Result

Final score

201 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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