Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

340.13 – 274.43

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

401 – 346

Prediction correct · off by 66.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 438.6 ±10.7

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 69.32Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1757Wolverines

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 75.12Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 195.69Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406.4 ±11.2

10254Regal Seagulls

Season APEX 269Event APEX 171.05Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 82.7Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6762Oscats

Season APEX 29Event APEX 20.68Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 237, 1757, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

340.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 237, 1757, 190

Auto

70.7 21%

Teleop

175.1 52%

Endgame

88.5 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10254, 467, 6762

/ 100 compat

Projected

274.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10254, 467, 6762

Auto

65.2 24%

Teleop

149.6 55%

Endgame

59.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score340.1pts

Blue projected score274.4pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 65.7
Score range: 231–383
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 747 vs event baseline 239.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

438.6Season APEX406.4

70.7Auto65.2

175.1Teleop149.6

88.5Endgame59.1

50Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	78
teleop	196	196
endgame	135	67
foul	10	5
total	401	346

Result

Final score

401 – 346

Prediction correct · off by 66.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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