Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

167.92 – 115.22

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

227 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 70.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 362.7 ±11.7

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 97.18Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5112The Gongoliers

Season APEX 153Event APEX 30.48Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6762Oscats

Season APEX 29Event APEX 40.26Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.5 ±12.8

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 24.54Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 6.59Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11483Red Line Robotics

Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 84.09Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2079, 5112, 6762

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2079, 5112, 6762

Auto

51.3 31%

Teleop

104.2 62%

Endgame

11.3 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5494, 1474, 11483

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5494, 1474, 11483

Auto

27.7 26%

Teleop

35.2 33%

Endgame

44.2 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score167.9pts

Blue projected score115.2pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 52.7
Score range: 75–208
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 261 vs event baseline 223.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

362.7Season APEX213.5

51.3Auto27.7

104.2Teleop35.2

11.3Endgame44.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	17
teleop	144	8
endgame	45	9
foul	0	0
total	227	34

Result

Final score

227 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 70.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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