Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.49 – 234.39

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 437

Prediction correct · off by 118.1 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 256.6 ±13.3

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 36.18Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3634Bridgeport Spark City

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 31.01Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX -3.7Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 665.6 ±10.2

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 118.7Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 110.57Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10393Foxborough High School

Season APEX 66.6Event APEX 5.12Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2262, 3634, 157

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2262, 3634, 157

Auto

15.5 24%

Teleop

38.3 60%

Endgame

10.2 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2370, 3467, 10393

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2370, 3467, 10393

Auto

42.2 19%

Teleop

117.4 52%

Endgame

65.1 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score63.5pts

Blue projected score234.4pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -170.9
Score range: 25–272
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 467 vs event baseline 213.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

256.6Season APEX665.6

15.5Auto42.2

38.3Teleop117.4

10.2Endgame65.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	93
teleop	12	240
endgame	5	104
foul	0	0
total	30	437

Result

Final score

30 – 437

Prediction correct · off by 118.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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