Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

316.64 – 122.64

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

278 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 605.6 ±9.3

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 131.79Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 35.55Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 149.3Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 361.7 ±11

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 43.06Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8709Pathfinder Tech

Season APEX 146Event APEX 38.12Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

429Two Many Bobcats

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 41.46Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2370, 7153, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

316.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2370, 7153, 2067

Auto

71.4 23%

Teleop

180.8 59%

Endgame

55.1 18%

Strengths

· 2067 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1100, 8709, 429

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1100, 8709, 429

Auto

30.4 26%

Teleop

57.7 50%

Endgame

27.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score316.6pts

Blue projected score122.6pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 194
Score range: 97–343
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 423 vs event baseline 147.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

605.6Season APEX361.7

71.4Auto30.4

180.8Teleop57.7

55.1Endgame27

0Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	52
teleop	168	43
endgame	57	50
foul	0	0
total	278	145

Result

Final score

278 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts

Match videos

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