Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

381.63 – 174.34

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

468 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 82.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 687.9 ±9.3

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 39.49Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 167.15Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 174.99Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528.4 ±10.5

571Paragon Robotics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 95.65Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 31.6Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7127LongMetal Robotics

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 47.09Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9710, 195, 176

/ 100 compat

Projected

381.6 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9710, 195, 176

Auto

81.1 22%

Teleop

232.5 62%

Endgame

61.5 16%

Strengths

· 176 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 571, 1740, 7127

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 571, 1740, 7127

Auto

32.5 19%

Teleop

94.6 55%

Endgame

45.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.48 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score381.6pts

Blue projected score174.3pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 207.3
Score range: 148–408
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 721 vs event baseline 144.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

687.9Season APEX528.4

81.1Auto32.5

232.5Teleop94.6

61.5Endgame45.4

0Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	43
teleop	263	151
endgame	110	59
foul	5	0
total	468	253

Result

Final score

468 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 82.5 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.