Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.22 – 185.92

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

180 – 263

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.9 ±11

3146GRANBY GRUNTS

Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 55.44Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 82Event APEX 39Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 33.78Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.1 ±10.4

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 87.92Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 86.1Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 11.9Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3146, 3654, 237

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3146, 3654, 237

Auto

27.3 22%

Teleop

59.6 49%

Endgame

35.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 236, 230, 2170

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 236, 230, 2170

Auto

54.4 29%

Teleop

91.6 49%

Endgame

39.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.2pts

Blue projected score185.9pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 4%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -57.7
Score range: 102–212
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 443 vs event baseline 143.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

313.9Season APEX383.1

27.3Auto54.4

59.6Teleop91.6

35.3Endgame39.6

26Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	46
teleop	81	140
endgame	52	62
foul	0	15
total	180	263

Result

Final score

180 – 263

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 pts

Match videos

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