Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

129.65 – 105.5

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

139 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 382.3 ±10.4

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 42.89Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 64.4Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 22.36Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 314.1 ±11

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 10.61Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 34.68Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

839Rosie Robotics

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 60.21Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 178, 177, 173

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 178, 177, 173

Auto

24.6 20%

Teleop

67.8 55%

Endgame

31.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 3461, 155, 839

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3461, 155, 839

Auto

9.0 9%

Teleop

64.4 64%

Endgame

27.2 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score129.7pts

Blue projected score105.5pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 24.2
Score range: 80–156
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 210 vs event baseline 144.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

382.3Season APEX314.1

24.6Auto9

67.8Teleop64.4

31.3Endgame27.2

52Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	27
teleop	49	18
endgame	16	11
foul	35	15
total	139	71

Result

Final score

139 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.