Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

287.29 – 124.37

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

450 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 99.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 605.6 ±9.3

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 122.64Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 25.7Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 138.95Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.9 ±11

3146GRANBY GRUNTS

Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 54.34Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 82Event APEX 37.49Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 32.54Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2370, 7153, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2370, 7153, 2067

Auto

71.7 26%

Teleop

160.6 57%

Endgame

47.4 17%

Strengths

· 2067 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3146, 3654, 237

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3146, 3654, 237

Auto

27.3 23%

Teleop

57.5 49%

Endgame

32.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.29 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score287.3pts

Blue projected score124.4pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 162.9
Score range: 98–313
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 611 vs event baseline 141.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

605.6Season APEX313.9

71.7Auto27.3

160.6Teleop57.5

47.4Endgame32

17Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	28
teleop	267	79
endgame	93	54
foul	15	0
total	450	161

Result

Final score

450 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 99.7 pts

Match videos

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