Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
180.32 – 93.88
75%25%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
178 – 162
Prediction correct · off by 35.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 528.4 ±10.5
Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 49.9Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 33.91Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 96.51Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 314.1 ±11
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 57.15Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 30.91Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 5.82Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7127, 1740, 571
73
/ 100 compatProjected
180.3 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7127, 1740, 571
Auto
29.9 17%
Teleop
100.6 57%
Endgame
46.6 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 839, 155, 3461
42
/ 100 compatProjected
93.9 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 839, 155, 3461
Auto
5.9 7%
Teleop
59.8 68%
Endgame
22.0 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.04
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score180.3pts
Blue projected score93.9pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 86.4
- Score range
- 69–205
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
528.4Season APEX314.1
29.9Auto5.9
100.6Teleop59.8
46.6Endgame22
29Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 45 | 20 |
| teleop | 85 | 90 |
| endgame | 48 | 52 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 178 | 162 |
Result
Final score
178 – 162
Prediction correct · off by 35.2 pts
Match videos
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