Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
358.32 – 134.55
94%6%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
499 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 76.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 687.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 109Event APEX 32.14Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 159.52Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 166.66Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 382.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 42.88Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 24.48Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 67.19Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9710, 195, 176
79
/ 100 compatProjected
358.3 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9710, 195, 176
Auto
76.1 22%
Teleop
215.6 61%
Endgame
59.4 17%
Strengths
- · 176 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 178, 173, 177
61
/ 100 compatProjected
134.6 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 178, 173, 177
Auto
26.5 21%
Teleop
75.4 59%
Endgame
25.2 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score358.3pts
Blue projected score134.6pts
Red win probability94%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 223.8
- Score range
- 110–383
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
687.9Season APEX382.3
76.1Auto26.5
215.6Teleop75.4
59.4Endgame25.2
4Consistency33
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 101 | 20 |
| teleop | 314 | 45 |
| endgame | 79 | 57 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 499 | 122 |
Result
Final score
499 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 76.6 pts
Match videos
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