Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

262.79 – 209.1

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

397 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 76.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 605.6 ±9.3

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 113.69Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 16.72Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 132.38Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.1 ±10.4

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 98.67Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 91.05Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 19.38Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2370, 7153, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2370, 7153, 2067

Auto

64.5 22%

Teleop

168.8 58%

Endgame

58.6 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 236, 230, 2170

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 236, 230, 2170

Auto

52.9 26%

Teleop

109.7 54%

Endgame

42.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score262.8pts

Blue projected score209.1pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 4%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53.7
Score range: 182–290
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 624 vs event baseline 149.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

605.6Season APEX383.1

64.5Auto52.9

168.8Teleop109.7

58.6Endgame42.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	50
teleop	216	119
endgame	99	58
foul	0	0
total	397	227

Result

Final score

397 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 76.1 pts

Match videos

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