Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

397.03308.75

75%25%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

3840

Prediction correct · off by 160.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 687.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 109Event APEX 44.1Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 171.71Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 181.22Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 605.6 ±9.3
Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 128.73Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 32.9Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 260Event APEX 147.12Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9710, 195, 176
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
397 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9710, 195, 176
Auto
82.8 21%
Teleop
238.1 61%
Endgame
69.5 18%
Strengths
  • · 176 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2370, 7153, 2067
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
308.8 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2370, 7153, 2067
Auto
67.8 23%
Teleop
178.1 59%
Endgame
55.1 18%
Strengths
  • · 2067 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 1.02
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score397pts
Blue projected score308.8pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
88.3
Score range
282424
Upset likelihood
25%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 384 vs event baseline 148.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

687.9Season APEX605.6
82.8Auto67.8
238.1Teleop178.1
69.5Endgame55.1
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto7245
teleop214115
endgame4879
foul5020
total3840

Result

Final score

3840

Prediction correct · off by 160.9 pts

Match videos

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