Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
397.03 – 308.75
75%25%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
384 – 0
Prediction correct · off by 160.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 687.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 109Event APEX 44.1Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 171.71Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 181.22Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 605.6 ±9.3
Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 128.73Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 32.9Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 260Event APEX 147.12Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9710, 195, 176
80
/ 100 compatProjected
397 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9710, 195, 176
Auto
82.8 21%
Teleop
238.1 61%
Endgame
69.5 18%
Strengths
- · 176 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2370, 7153, 2067
80
/ 100 compatProjected
308.8 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2370, 7153, 2067
Auto
67.8 23%
Teleop
178.1 59%
Endgame
55.1 18%
Strengths
- · 2067 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 1.02
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score397pts
Blue projected score308.8pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 88.3
- Score range
- 282–424
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
687.9Season APEX605.6
82.8Auto67.8
238.1Teleop178.1
69.5Endgame55.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 72 | 45 |
| teleop | 214 | 115 |
| endgame | 48 | 79 |
| foul | 50 | 20 |
| total | 384 | 0 |
Result
Final score
384 – 0
Prediction correct · off by 160.9 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.