Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

30.36 – 101.14

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

18 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 76.1 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.7 ±12.8

9101Green Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 30.57Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5142RoboDominators

Season APEX 80Event APEX 3.14Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX -3.35Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528.2 ±10.5

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 36.57Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 3.14Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 61.43Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9101, 5142, 1991

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9101, 5142, 1991

Auto

4.7 15%

Teleop

14.8 46%

Endgame

12.9 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 177, 3461, 176

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 177, 3461, 176

Auto

24.6 25%

Teleop

46.9 48%

Endgame

25.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score30.4pts

Blue projected score101.1pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -70.8
Score range: 15–116
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 259 vs event baseline 84.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218.7Season APEX528.2

4.7Auto24.6

14.8Teleop46.9

12.9Endgame25.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	40
teleop	4	157
endgame	0	39
foul	0	5
total	18	241

Result

Final score

18 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 76.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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