Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

84.51 – 77.28

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

142 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 41.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 239.4 ±12.2

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 29.44Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 22.73Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 32.34Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 272.1 ±11.7

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX -0.23Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

839Rosie Robotics

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 56.01Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6895Mechanical Madness 4-H

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 21.5Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 237, 7153, 4176

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 237, 7153, 4176

Auto

34.2 39%

Teleop

36.3 41%

Endgame

17.1 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1991, 839, 6895

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1991, 839, 6895

Auto

10.5 14%

Teleop

39.0 53%

Endgame

23.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.5pts

Blue projected score77.3pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7.2
Score range: 52–110
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 245 vs event baseline 139.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

239.4Season APEX272.1

34.2Auto10.5

36.3Teleop39

17.1Endgame23.8

20Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	5
teleop	87	54
endgame	23	44
foul	5	0
total	142	103

Result

Final score

142 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 41.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.