Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

111.88 – 172.59

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

195 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 339.3 ±10.4

3146GRANBY GRUNTS

Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 49.13Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 36.57Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 26.18Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 480.7 ±9.8

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 31.1Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7127LongMetal Robotics

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 47.06Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

571Paragon Robotics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 94.43Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3146, 178, 9710

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3146, 178, 9710

Auto

19.1 19%

Teleop

57.4 57%

Endgame

23.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 8567, 7127, 571

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8567, 7127, 571

Auto

35.7 22%

Teleop

82.9 51%

Endgame

43.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score111.9pts

Blue projected score172.6pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.7
Score range: 87–198
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 396 vs event baseline 138.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

339.3Season APEX480.7

19.1Auto35.7

57.4Teleop82.9

23.9Endgame43.6

14Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	32
teleop	62	114
endgame	47	50
foul	65	5
total	195	201

Result

Final score

195 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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