Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

262.33 – 49.48

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

384 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 75.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 650.1 ±9.9

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 150.2Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 115.57Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX -3.44Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 205.1 ±13.9

6346Cybears Robotics Team

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 41Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9101Green Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 15.12Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1027Mechatronic Maniacs

Season APEX 89Event APEX -6.64Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 195, 2370, 3461

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 195, 2370, 3461

Auto

68.5 27%

Teleop

146.2 57%

Endgame

41.6 16%

Strengths

· 195 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6346, 9101, 1027

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.5 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6346, 9101, 1027

Auto

9.7 22%

Teleop

17.7 40%

Endgame

17.3 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score262.3pts

Blue projected score49.5pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 212.9
Score range: 24–287
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 405 vs event baseline 138.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

650.1Season APEX205.1

68.5Auto9.7

146.2Teleop17.7

41.6Endgame17.3

0Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	12
teleop	239	4
endgame	35	0
foul	15	5
total	384	21

Result

Final score

384 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 75.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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