Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.32 – 229.61

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

126 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 55 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 271.7 ±12.7

4034Pelham πthons Team 4034

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 20.89Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 32.34Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

429Two Many Bobcats

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 39.09Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 424.7 ±11.2

181Birds Of Prey

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 32.08Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 164.07Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 82Event APEX 33.46Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4034, 1740, 429

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4034, 1740, 429

Auto

20.8 25%

Teleop

35.7 42%

Endgame

27.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 181, 176, 3654

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 181, 176, 3654

Auto

39.5 17%

Teleop

135.4 60%

Endgame

52.2 23%

Strengths

· 176 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.3pts

Blue projected score229.6pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -137.3
Score range: 67–255
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 432 vs event baseline 137.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

271.7Season APEX424.7

20.8Auto39.5

35.7Teleop135.4

27.6Endgame52.2

10Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	61
teleop	52	162
endgame	35	63
foul	20	20
total	126	306

Result

Final score

126 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 55 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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