Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

252.66 – 58.53

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

325 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 69.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 520 ±9.8

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 134.78Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 91.34Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 26.54Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 324.2 ±11.7

8709Pathfinder Tech

Season APEX 146Event APEX 31.56Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 38.17Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10945ELP's Mad CAD-ers

Season APEX 38.1Event APEX -11.2Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2067, 236, 155

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2067, 236, 155

Auto

72.7 29%

Teleop

140.8 57%

Endgame

35.2 14%

Strengths

· 2067 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 8709, 1100, 10945

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8709, 1100, 10945

Auto

16.5 31%

Teleop

27.2 51%

Endgame

9.9 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score252.7pts

Blue projected score58.5pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 194.1
Score range: 35–277
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 450 vs event baseline 135.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

520Season APEX324.2

72.7Auto16.5

140.8Teleop27.2

35.2Endgame9.9

40Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	29
teleop	196	52
endgame	80	44
foul	0	0
total	325	125

Result

Final score

325 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 69.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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