Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

133.7 – 80.71

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

269 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 71 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 488.8 ±11.2

7694THE IRON LIONS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX -9.12Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

571Paragon Robotics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 85.07Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 57.75Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241 ±11.7

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 29.75Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 25.59Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10592Stamford Cyber-Hird TSA

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 25.37Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7694, 571, 177

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7694, 571, 177

Auto

29.7 23%

Teleop

75.3 57%

Endgame

26.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9710, 7153, 10592

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9710, 7153, 10592

Auto

8.8 12%

Teleop

49.4 68%

Endgame

14.8 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133.7pts

Blue projected score80.7pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53
Score range: 57–158
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 343 vs event baseline 135.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

488.8Season APEX241

29.7Auto8.8

75.3Teleop49.4

26.3Endgame14.8

84Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	17
teleop	146	27
endgame	102	25
foul	0	5
total	269	74

Result

Final score

269 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 71 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.