Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.61 – 43.47

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

113 – 33

Prediction missed · off by 42.4 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 442.2 ±11.2

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX -Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 5.43Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1027Mechatronic Maniacs

Season APEX 89Event APEX 18.86Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.1 ±12.8

10945ELP's Mad CAD-ers

Season APEX 38.1Event APEX -Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 10.29Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 18.86Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2067, 8567, 1027

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2067, 8567, 1027

Auto

10.6 27%

Teleop

17.4 45%

Endgame

10.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10945, 2170, 4176

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10945, 2170, 4176

Auto

14.0 32%

Teleop

20.3 47%

Endgame

9.2 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.6pts

Blue projected score43.5pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.9
Score range: 24–58
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 146 vs event baseline 85.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

442.2Season APEX180.1

6.3Auto9.7

10.3Teleop13.1

7.7Endgame6.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	15
teleop	46	14
endgame	28	4
foul	20	0
total	113	33

Result

Final score

113 – 33

Prediction missed · off by 42.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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