Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

159.2 – 178.67

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

269 – 182

Prediction missed · off by 56.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 480.1 ±9.8

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 109.37Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3146GRANBY GRUNTS

Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 42.23Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 7.6Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 468 ±11.2

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 12Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 150.42Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9101Green Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 16.25Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2370, 3146, 2170

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2370, 3146, 2170

Auto

42.0 27%

Teleop

71.7 46%

Endgame

40.5 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10910, 195, 9101

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10910, 195, 9101

Auto

43.4 24%

Teleop

98.2 55%

Endgame

36.9 21%

Strengths

· 195 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score159.2pts

Blue projected score178.7pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.5
Score range: 135–203
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 451 vs event baseline 134.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

480.1Season APEX468

42Auto43.4

71.7Teleop98.2

40.5Endgame36.9

43Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	70
teleop	138	107
endgame	51	0
foul	5	5
total	269	182

Result

Final score

269 – 182

Prediction missed · off by 56.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.