Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

142.48 – 110.96

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

111 – 152

Prediction missed · off by 36.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 412.7 ±11

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 43.73Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 37.74Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

839Rosie Robotics

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 61.01Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.8 ±11.7

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 31.89Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 33.53Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7127LongMetal Robotics

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 45.54Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1100, 1740, 839

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1100, 1740, 839

Auto

17.7 13%

Teleop

76.8 56%

Endgame

41.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4176, 178, 7127

/ 100 compat

Projected

111 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4176, 178, 7127

Auto

34.3 33%

Teleop

48.9 46%

Endgame

22.3 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score142.5pts

Blue projected score111pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31.5
Score range: 87–166
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 263 vs event baseline 135.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

412.7Season APEX277.8

17.7Auto34.3

76.8Teleop48.9

41.7Endgame22.3

34Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	19
teleop	54	88
endgame	22	30
foul	5	15
total	111	152

Result

Final score

111 – 152

Prediction missed · off by 36.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.