Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

86.17 – 168.33

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

196 – 288

Prediction correct · off by 114.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 243.5 ±12.2

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 82Event APEX 25.05Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6346Cybears Robotics Team

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 36.13Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 24.99Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 486 ±11.2

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 128.2Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5142RoboDominators

Season APEX 80Event APEX 15.93Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8709Pathfinder Tech

Season APEX 146Event APEX 24.2Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3654, 6346, 237

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3654, 6346, 237

Auto

19.9 24%

Teleop

41.4 50%

Endgame

22.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2067, 5142, 8709

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2067, 5142, 8709

Auto

43.7 28%

Teleop

97.5 62%

Endgame

16.6 11%

Strengths

· 2067 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score86.2pts

Blue projected score168.3pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -82.2
Score range: 62–192
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 484 vs event baseline 133.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

243.5Season APEX486

19.9Auto43.7

41.4Teleop97.5

22.2Endgame16.6

73Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	65
teleop	94	198
endgame	62	25
foul	5	0
total	196	288

Result

Final score

196 – 288

Prediction correct · off by 114.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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