Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

211.11 – 120.36

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

247 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 384.9 ±12.4

6895Mechanical Madness 4-H

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 23.65Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10592Stamford Cyber-Hird TSA

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 24.67Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 162.79Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 322.7 ±11.7

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 58.61Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

181Birds Of Prey

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 34.6Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 27.15Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6895, 10592, 176

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6895, 10592, 176

Auto

31.3 15%

Teleop

124.1 60%

Endgame

51.5 25%

Strengths

· 176 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 177, 181, 155

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 177, 181, 155

Auto

15.2 12%

Teleop

84.5 67%

Endgame

25.7 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score211.1pts

Blue projected score120.4pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.8
Score range: 96–235
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 370 vs event baseline 132.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

384.9Season APEX322.7

31.3Auto15.2

124.1Teleop84.5

51.5Endgame25.7

48Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	31
teleop	172	69
endgame	21	23
foul	0	0
total	247	123

Result

Final score

247 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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