Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

262.48 – 44.82

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

131 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 69.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 496.7 ±11.2

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 163.88Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4034Pelham πthons Team 4034

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 41.77Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 56.83Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.2 ±12.8

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 32.75Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7694THE IRON LIONS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX -13.8Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 25.87Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 195, 4034, 1100

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 195, 4034, 1100

Auto

49.2 19%

Teleop

141.6 55%

Endgame

65.8 26%

Strengths

· 195 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4176, 7694, 173

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4176, 7694, 173

Auto

23.4 48%

Teleop

17.9 37%

Endgame

7.4 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score262.5pts

Blue projected score44.8pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 217.7
Score range: 21–286
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 184 vs event baseline 133.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

496.7Season APEX231.2

49.2Auto23.4

141.6Teleop17.9

65.8Endgame7.4

30Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	32
teleop	40	11
endgame	16	0
foul	0	10
total	131	53

Result

Final score

131 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 69.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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