Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

315.78 – 171.51

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

372 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 36.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 670.1 ±9.3

839Rosie Robotics

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 55.27Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 157.39Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 103.12Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 350 ±11

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 29.85Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

429Two Many Bobcats

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 44.35Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 97.31Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 839, 176, 2370

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 839, 176, 2370

Auto

54.3 17%

Teleop

182.3 58%

Endgame

77.0 25%

Strengths

· 176 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9710, 429, 236

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9710, 429, 236

Auto

39.2 25%

Teleop

81.2 52%

Endgame

35.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score315.8pts

Blue projected score171.5pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 144.3
Score range: 148–340
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 526 vs event baseline 130.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

670.1Season APEX350

54.3Auto39.2

182.3Teleop81.2

77Endgame35.6

28Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	45
teleop	207	89
endgame	72	20
foul	5	0
total	372	154

Result

Final score

372 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 36.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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