Qualification · Qualification 58
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
60.24 – 205.4
14%86%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
65 – 246
Prediction correct · off by 22.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 255 ±12.2
Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 21.88Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 25.29Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 13.07Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 484 ±9.8
Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 94.4Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 86.99Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 24.01Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6895, 237, 2170
36
/ 100 compatProjected
60.2 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6895, 237, 2170
Auto
24.1 39%
Teleop
24.5 40%
Endgame
13.1 21%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 230, 571, 155
82
/ 100 compatProjected
205.4 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 230, 571, 155
Auto
40.8 19%
Teleop
108.0 51%
Endgame
62.5 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score60.2pts
Blue projected score205.4pts
Red win probability14%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -145.2
- Score range
- 36–229
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
255Season APEX484
24.1Auto40.8
24.5Teleop108
13.1Endgame62.5
21Consistency48
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 34 | 49 |
| teleop | 23 | 151 |
| endgame | 8 | 46 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 65 | 246 |
Result
Final score
65 – 246
Prediction correct · off by 22.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.