Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

116.19 – 178.81

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

228 – 187

Prediction missed · off by 60 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.5 ±11.2

9101Green Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 6.82Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 17.28Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 92.09Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 392.9 ±11.2

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 82Event APEX 18.06Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 33.49Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 127.26Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9101, 173, 2370

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9101, 173, 2370

Auto

39.2 32%

Teleop

60.4 49%

Endgame

24.2 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3654, 4176, 2067

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3654, 4176, 2067

Auto

46.1 26%

Teleop

104.4 59%

Endgame

25.3 14%

Strengths

· 2067 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score116.2pts

Blue projected score178.8pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.6
Score range: 93–202
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 415 vs event baseline 130.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

436.5Season APEX392.9

39.2Auto46.1

60.4Teleop104.4

24.2Endgame25.3

34Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	58
teleop	115	96
endgame	73	33
foul	5	0
total	228	187

Result

Final score

228 – 187

Prediction missed · off by 60 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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