Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

18.87 – 151.84

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 43.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 280.3 ±11.7

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 29.42Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 4.72Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7694THE IRON LIONS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX -15.27Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 330.1 ±11.7

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 28.69Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 106.05Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5142RoboDominators

Season APEX 80Event APEX 17.1Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9710, 10910, 7694

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9710, 10910, 7694

Auto

6.3 47%

Teleop

4.7 35%

Endgame

2.4 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7153, 236, 5142

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7153, 236, 5142

Auto

51.9 36%

Teleop

62.2 43%

Endgame

32.0 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score18.9pts

Blue projected score151.8pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -133
Score range: -5–176
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 130.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

280.3Season APEX330.1

6.3Auto51.9

4.7Teleop62.2

2.4Endgame32

54Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	30
teleop	29	50
endgame	11	4
foul	20	30
total	68	114

Result

Final score

68 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 43.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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