Qualification · Qualification 54
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
130.86 – 48.75
74%26%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
110 – 159
Prediction missed · off by 65.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 364.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 146Event APEX 22.7Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 56.6Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 51.56Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 43.56Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 38.1Event APEX -10.95Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 16.14Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8709, 177, 4034
63
/ 100 compatProjected
130.9 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8709, 177, 4034
Auto
29.0 23%
Teleop
68.4 55%
Endgame
27.7 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 839, 10945, 237
36
/ 100 compatProjected
48.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 839, 10945, 237
Auto
16.3 35%
Teleop
21.9 48%
Endgame
7.8 17%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score130.9pts
Blue projected score48.8pts
Red win probability74%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 82.1
- Score range
- 25–155
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
364.1Season APEX273.6
29Auto16.3
68.4Teleop21.9
27.7Endgame7.8
31Consistency48
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 10 |
| teleop | 73 | 93 |
| endgame | 16 | 51 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 110 | 159 |
Result
Final score
110 – 159
Prediction missed · off by 65.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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