Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
74.57 – 153.72
27%73%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
73 – 112
Prediction correct · off by 21.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 272.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 50.01Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 25.37Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 87.8Event APEX -0.81Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265 ±11.7
Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 35.05Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 18.65Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 100.02Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7127, 6895, 3461
44
/ 100 compatProjected
74.6 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7127, 6895, 3461
Auto
9.6 14%
Teleop
35.7 52%
Endgame
24.0 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10592, 2170, 230
70
/ 100 compatProjected
153.7 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10592, 2170, 230
Auto
28.4 19%
Teleop
78.0 52%
Endgame
44.4 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 1.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score74.6pts
Blue projected score153.7pts
Red win probability27%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -79.1
- Score range
- 52–177
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
272.6Season APEX265
9.6Auto28.4
35.7Teleop78
24Endgame44.4
28Consistency23
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 36 |
| teleop | 29 | 41 |
| endgame | 3 | 30 |
| foul | 30 | 5 |
| total | 73 | 112 |
Result
Final score
73 – 112
Prediction correct · off by 21.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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