Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

104.71 – 211.06

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

107 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 402.8 ±10.4

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 7.22Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

839Rosie Robotics

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 42.72Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 54.77Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 572.3 ±9.8

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 91.11Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8709Pathfinder Tech

Season APEX 146Event APEX 19.67Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 100.28Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10910, 839, 177

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10910, 839, 177

Auto

15.1 15%

Teleop

63.7 65%

Endgame

19.7 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2370, 8709, 236

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2370, 8709, 236

Auto

60.8 30%

Teleop

104.6 51%

Endgame

38.1 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score104.7pts

Blue projected score211.1pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -106.3
Score range: 82–234
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 349 vs event baseline 128.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

402.8Season APEX572.3

15.1Auto60.8

63.7Teleop104.6

19.7Endgame38.1

34Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	97
teleop	73	116
endgame	21	29
foul	0	0
total	107	242

Result

Final score

107 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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