Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

25.57 – 95.22

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.2 ±12.8

9101Green Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 9.6Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10945ELP's Mad CAD-ers

Season APEX 38.1Event APEX -12.44Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 28.41Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.5 ±11.7

178The 2nd Law Enforcers

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 25.93Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 49.2Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

181Birds Of Prey

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 20.09Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9101, 10945, 7153

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9101, 10945, 7153

Auto

17.0 67%

Teleop

-0.4 0%

Endgame

8.7 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 178, 1100, 181

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 178, 1100, 181

Auto

23.2 27%

Teleop

32.7 39%

Endgame

28.9 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score25.6pts

Blue projected score95.2pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69.6
Score range: 3–118
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 195 vs event baseline 129.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

181.2Season APEX307.5

17Auto23.2

-0.4Teleop32.7

8.7Endgame28.9

45Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	15
teleop	16	104
endgame	10	30
foul	5	0
total	46	149

Result

Final score

46 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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