Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

253.53 – 13.56

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

191 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 93 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 509.4 ±10.5

3146GRANBY GRUNTS

Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 61.03Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 166.99Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 25.51Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 278.9 ±11.7

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 7.75Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7694THE IRON LIONS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX -30.8Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7127LongMetal Robotics

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 36.61Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3146, 176, 237

/ 100 compat

Projected

253.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3146, 176, 237

Auto

55.0 22%

Teleop

134.6 54%

Endgame

60.4 24%

Strengths

· 176 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2170, 7694, 7127

/ 100 compat

Projected

13.6 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2170, 7694, 7127

Auto

23.1 100%

Teleop

2.8 16%

Endgame

-8.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score253.5pts

Blue projected score13.6pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 240
Score range: -9–277
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 328 vs event baseline 128.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

509.4Season APEX278.9

55Auto23.1

134.6Teleop2.8

60.4Endgame-8.1

50Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	26
teleop	120	51
endgame	26	40
foul	0	20
total	191	137

Result

Final score

191 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 93 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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